#Polymarket

Let's run the numbers before we touch the narrative. The 2026 U.S. midterm...

Kenya Airways just reported a 72% surge in fuel costs. On Polymarket, the...

The invite dropped on August 19. A film screening in New York, titled "Bull...

The screening was scheduled. The market yawned. On August 19, 2024,...

Polymarket’s order book shows over $1.2 million in wagers on the Eaton and...

We assume that the most reliable signals come from institutions with decades ...

I caught the data point on a sleep-deprived Wednesday morning, scrolling...

The Washington State Department of Financial Institutions issued a...

JPMorgan cut ties with Polymarket last October. The CEO still shows up at the...

Hook: The Anomaly in the Transaction Log Over the past 72 hours, a single...

A single headline. 'Kyiv retakes 26 settlements, 600 km² in southeastern...

The on-chain data is unambiguous. A single Polymarket wallet, tracked across ...

The chart just broke. Polymarket, the largest prediction market on-chain, is...

The CFTC's emergency order for Kalshi to continue operations is not a technic...

The chart screams oversold. The Polymarket contract screams 65% probability o...

On August 9, a wire note handed me three numbers. Polymarket priced Bitcoin's...

The data shows a gap: Bloomberg reports that Polymarket is negotiating a new...

Kalshi's Stephen Curry next-team market cleared $4 million in trading volume....

Event contracts just became Robinhood's second-largest trading revenue line. ...

The probability of a full Middle East airspace closure by August 31 is 46.5%—...

"60 million Americans watched the 2026 World Cup final. Yet the real action...

In the ashes of a liquidation, gold is forged. The prediction market says 93%...

The Polymarket contract on US-Iran diplomatic agreement by 2026 sits at 30.5%...

The U.S. airstrike on Iranian targets sent West Texas Intermediate crude to a...

Isfahan’s radar screens lit up at dawn. Iran’s air defense systems—likely...

We watched the probability ticker on Polymarket yesterday: 45.5%. For the...

The numbers are stark, and they tell a story that has little to do with smart...

We built the utopia, then audited the ruins. On a Tuesday that most of the...

On January 15, 2026, the data hit my terminal. A prediction market...

The ledger screamed victory, but the pool bled dry. At 21:47 UTC on August 22...

Tracing the static in the protocol’s genesis block, I found myself staring at...

A binary contract on Polymarket is currently pricing an Anthropic IPO before...

The numbers are clean — almost too clean. Polymarket now prices the Clarity A...

Over the past 48 hours, Polymarket has processed $2.3 million in volume on a...

The market is screaming, and it's not about a token price. As of today,...

Imagine you are a risk manager at a top-tier hedge fund, sitting in a glass...

The Hook On May 31, 2024, a single number stopped me mid-scroll: 14.5% — the...

Tracing the immutable breath of the contract—10.5% sits frozen on-chain, a...

A missile tore through the night sky above Sloviansk last evening. The impact...

The noise fades, but the pattern remembers. The alert went out before the...

I don't care about model names that don't exist. But I do care about a 90.5%...

Hook Bitcoin dropped 3.2% in 20 minutes. WTI crude oil jumped $1.80 per barre...

Last night, an explosion rocked the US Fifth Fleet headquarters in Manama,...

Hook Polymarket now prices an Iranian retaliatory strike before July 22 at...

The alpha isn't in the timeline of Polymarket's volume records. It's in the...

We didn't see this coming. Not the Belgium ban on Israeli settlement goods —...

Over the past 72 hours, a silent symmetry broke. France’s ANJ issued an...

The number is staring us in the face: 25.5%. That is the implied probability,...

The 57% number hit my terminal before the official statement. On January 28, ...

On July 29, 2024, the French gambling regulator ANJ delivered an order that...